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2024-12-13 04:34:14

In my humble opinion, in the future, we can replace the position of government bonds from two angles: interest rate bonds, especially high dividend companies, and lower the position of government bonds. Because now you can exchange liquidity through other channels, you don't have to have so many assets with very strong liquidity. Depending on the situation, stocks and funds that are growing in equity assets can be handed over to institutions for care. Don't expect Baosi to raise the stock assets too high, and the repayment rate and other indicators will follow. To sum up, it is still possible to achieve an implied hypothetical return of more than 4.5%. Moreover, if the regulatory authorities think there is risk, the predetermined interest rate will be adjusted.In my humble opinion, in the future, we can replace the position of government bonds from two angles: interest rate bonds, especially high dividend companies, and lower the position of government bonds. Because now you can exchange liquidity through other channels, you don't have to have so many assets with very strong liquidity. Depending on the situation, stocks and funds that are growing in equity assets can be handed over to institutions for care. Don't expect Baosi to raise the stock assets too high, and the repayment rate and other indicators will follow. To sum up, it is still possible to achieve an implied hypothetical return of more than 4.5%. Moreover, if the regulatory authorities think there is risk, the predetermined interest rate will be adjusted.In my humble opinion, in the future, we can replace the position of government bonds from two angles: interest rate bonds, especially high dividend companies, and lower the position of government bonds. Because now you can exchange liquidity through other channels, you don't have to have so many assets with very strong liquidity. Depending on the situation, stocks and funds that are growing in equity assets can be handed over to institutions for care. Don't expect Baosi to raise the stock assets too high, and the repayment rate and other indicators will follow. To sum up, it is still possible to achieve an implied hypothetical return of more than 4.5%. Moreover, if the regulatory authorities think there is risk, the predetermined interest rate will be adjusted.


Finally, the layout of insurance+medical care is certainly not as high as the ceiling of American counterparts, but now the policy support is getting stronger and stronger, and the medical insurance and commercial insurance information are connected. We can control the policy cost from the perspective of death and seek differentiated competition. Next year, with the landing of institutions under the pension line, it is expected to be accelerated.As shown in the mid-year report in 2024, about 51% of fixed-income assets are held with interest due, and 16.9% are placed in "financial assets with fair value and changes included in current profits and losses", that is, this part pursues elastic income, which can be understood as seeking transaction value. Take a casual look at the current trend of bond funds and bond ETFs. There are quite a few products that have increased by 8%-10% so far this year, and there are many products that have increased by more than 5%. According to the current macro trend, the debt cow is more certain.Finally, the layout of insurance+medical care is certainly not as high as the ceiling of American counterparts, but now the policy support is getting stronger and stronger, and the medical insurance and commercial insurance information are connected. We can control the policy cost from the perspective of death and seek differentiated competition. Next year, with the landing of institutions under the pension line, it is expected to be accelerated.


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